Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.036522 0.042291 0.048686 0.056304 0.065138 0.075063 0.087070
2026-01-18 0.028000 0.035686 0.045062 0.057355 0.073071 0.092526 0.118493
2026-01-25 0.023039 0.031626 0.042906 0.058840 0.080824 0.110175 0.152492
2026-02-01 0.018646 0.027197 0.039131 0.057050 0.083370 0.120768 0.178233
2026-02-08 0.015830 0.024327 0.036821 0.056598 0.087263 0.133250 0.207933
2026-02-15 0.013647 0.021966 0.034778 0.056032 0.090613 0.145030 0.237879
2026-02-22 0.012217 0.020511 0.033834 0.056900 0.096121 0.160614 0.275757
2026-03-01 0.010825 0.018888 0.032352 0.056598 0.099529 0.173041 0.309891
2026-03-08 0.009458 0.017104 0.030335 0.055047 0.100479 0.181258 0.337602
2026-03-15 0.008307 0.015533 0.028466 0.053461 0.101065 0.188757 0.364821
2026-03-22 0.007674 0.014818 0.028021 0.054390 0.106346 0.205374 0.411343
2026-03-29 0.007050 0.014032 0.027336 0.054750 0.110534 0.220358 0.456596
2026-04-05 0.006455 0.013242 0.026571 0.054903 0.114440 0.235499 0.504802
2026-04-12 0.005989 0.012652 0.026132 0.055663 0.119698 0.254077 0.563004
2026-04-19 0.005632 0.012242 0.026000 0.057039 0.126422 0.276555 0.632900
2026-04-26 0.005036 0.011243 0.024513 0.055289 0.126082 0.283748 0.669421
2026-05-03 0.004618 0.010581 0.023668 0.054848 0.128602 0.297562 0.723225
2026-05-10 0.004238 0.009956 0.022827 0.054298 0.130784 0.310847 0.777627
2026-05-17 0.003994 0.009618 0.022592 0.055139 0.136367 0.332793 0.856517
2026-05-24 0.003699 0.009119 0.021925 0.054847 0.139135 0.348288 0.921254
2026-05-31 0.003359 0.008471 0.020826 0.053344 0.138664 0.355688 0.965894
2026-06-07 0.003052 0.007868 0.019766 0.051808 0.137902 0.362243 1.009226
2026-06-14 0.002904 0.007653 0.019650 0.052708 0.143692 0.386608 1.105320